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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-112/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the moment, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • The predictive model expects Trey McBride to accumulate 9.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Trey McBride's 76.2% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a substantial regression in his receiving skills over last year's 79.2% mark.
  • Trey McBride's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.62 rate last year.
  • This year, the daunting Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a puny 6.6 yards.
  • The Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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