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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-101/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The model projects the Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • Trey McBride's 75.0% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 79.2% figure.
  • Trey McBride's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.62 rate last year.
  • The Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.4%) versus tight ends this year (71.4%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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