Trey McBride Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Trey McBride

NFL · Player Props

Trey McBride

TE · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey McBride Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

Trey McBride has posted a puny 3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 19th percentile among tight ends.
Trey McBride has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging just 4.18 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 12th percentile.
The New England Patriots defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 39.0) versus TEs this year.
The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) to tight ends this year (64.2%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. tight ends this year, conceding 6.82 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the NFL.

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