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Trey Lance

Trey Lance Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Trey Lance Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 162.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 174.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 162.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Trey Lance.
  • At a -15.5-point disadvantage, the Chargers are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 131.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chargers this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Trey Lance comes in as one of the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging 21.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 17th percentile.
  • Trey Lance checks in as one of the least on-target QBs in football since the start of last season with a 58.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 15th percentile.
  • This year, the stout Broncos defense has yielded a mere 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-best rate in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a paltry 7.1 yards.

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