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Trey Lance Completions
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trey Lance Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Trey Lance.

At a -15.5-point disadvantage, the Chargers are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 131.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chargers this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Trey Lance checks in as one of the least on-target QBs in football since the start of last season with a 58.3% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 15th percentile.

This year, the stout Broncos defense has yielded a mere 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-best rate in the league.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Denver's collection of LBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.

More Trey Lance Player Props

Trey Lance CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trey Lance Completions
Player Prop Week 18