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Trey Lance Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trey Lance Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 131.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Chargers this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).

In this contest, Trey Lance is projected by the model to garner the 2nd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.9.

The projections expect Trey Lance to be a more important option in his team's ground game in this contest (23.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Trey Lance.

At a -15.5-point disadvantage, the Chargers are heavy underdogs in this week's contest, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.

The model projects the Chargers as the 3rd-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Denver defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Trey Lance Player Props

Trey Lance CarriesPlayer Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trey Lance Carries
Player Prop Week 18