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Trevor Siemian

Trevor Siemian TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Trevor Siemian TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.0% red zone pass rate.
  • At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
  • This year, the shaky Commanders defense has given up a colossal 2.29 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the highest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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