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Trevor Siemian

Trevor Siemian Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Trevor Siemian Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

This year, the stout Commanders run defense has surrendered a puny 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 23rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Washington defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the worst in football last year.

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