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Trevor Siemian

Trevor Siemian Completions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Trevor Siemian Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.
  • At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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