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Trevor Siemian

Trevor Siemian Carries
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Trevor Siemian Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The Washington defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst group of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
  • In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the worst in football last year.

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