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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-500).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The Raiders safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a poor 59.2% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the least on-target passers in football.
  • With an excellent ratio of 0.25 touchdowns on the ground per game (92nd percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 4th-most touchdowns in the league (1.29 per game) vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

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