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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+425/-475).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -490 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -475.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Jaguars to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
  • This week, Trevor Lawrence is forecasted by the projections to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a poor 60.5% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence stands among the least on-target passers in the NFL.
  • Trevor Lawrence has run for 0.29 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among quarterbacks (90th percentile).
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 5th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 1.17 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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