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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+530/-620).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +520 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +530.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Trevor Lawrence has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among QBs (2nd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

The model projects Trevor Lawrence to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.

While Trevor Lawrence has accounted for 0.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Jacksonville's run game near the end zone in this game at 10.3%.

Trevor Lawrence profiles as one of the worst precision passers in the league this year with a 58.4% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 9th percentile.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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