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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+630/-960).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -860 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -960.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive strategy to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In this week's game, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.3.

The Jacksonville O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars since the start of last season (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Trevor Lawrence to be a more important option in his team's ground game near the goal line this week (9.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Trevor Lawrence's 55.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a meaningful diminishment in his throwing precision over last season's 61.2% figure.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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