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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • With an exceptional rate of 1.53 per game (82nd percentile), Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the leading touchdown throwers in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to be involved in the run game near the end zone, accounting for 11.8% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year (80th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
  • Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 60.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.
  • With a remarkable rate of 0.32 touchdowns on the ground per game (95th percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the leading running quarterbacks in football this year.

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