My Account Log Out
 
 
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • With an exceptional rate of 1.53 per game (82nd percentile), Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the leading touchdown throwers in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars rank as the 10th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 50.1% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Trevor Lawrence isn't afraid to be involved in the run game near the end zone, accounting for 11.8% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year (80th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
  • Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 60.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™