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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-320).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • With a remarkable rate of 1.53 per game (84th percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks among the leading touchdown passers in football this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Jaguars are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Taking on 11.3% of his offense's red zone carries this year (80th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Trevor Lawrence's mobility marks him as a major threat in Jacksonville's rushing attack near the end zone.
  • With a feeble 60.2% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence places as one of the least accurate QBs in the league.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.24 rushing touchdowns per game (89th percentile), Trevor Lawrence has been as one of the top running QBs in the league this year.

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