My Account Log Out
 
 
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+420/-600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +440 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Trevor Lawrence to attempt 36.4 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 51.8% rate of running the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Trevor Lawrence grades out as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL this year with a 59.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.
  • With a terrific ratio of 0.25 TDs on the ground per game (92nd percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the leading running quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league against the Broncos defense this year (65.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the stout Broncos defense has given up a paltry 1.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™