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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-360).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jaguars have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 59.5 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are a heavy favorite this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (47.2% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.4 per game) this year.

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