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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-470).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -470.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Colts defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.8% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence has been one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 13th percentile.
  • Trevor Lawrence has run for 0.23 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among QBs (87th percentile).
  • This year, the daunting Indianapolis Colts defense has given up a paltry 1.33 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the 10th-smallest rate in the league.

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