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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-470).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -460 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -470.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in the league vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Trevor Lawrence to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.

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