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Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -325 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -450.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

The Los Angeles defensive tackles grade out as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 45.7% red zone run rate.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.

Trevor Lawrence profiles as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 9th percentile.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11