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Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in football.

With a remarkable rate of 1.53 per game (84th percentile), Trevor Lawrence ranks among the leading touchdown passers in football this year.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Jaguars are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With a feeble 60.2% Adjusted Completion% (10th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence places as one of the least accurate QBs in the league.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17