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With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are a heavy favorite this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (52.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Jaguars.Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.4 per game) this year.
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