reorder

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+192/-251).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +192 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

In logging a whopping 32.2 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (81st percentile) by this metric.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 54.3% red zone pass rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.

Trevor Lawrence profiles as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Trevor Lawrence has been among the weakest TD passers in the league this year, averaging a miserable 1.00 per game while ranking in the 16th percentile.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11