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Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-278/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -265 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, Trevor Lawrence is projected by our trusted projection set to average the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 48.5% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the league under these circumstances has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 59.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest passing TDs in football: 1.00 per game this year.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10