Trevor Lawrence TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

TD Passes

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 61.7% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Trevor Lawrence to throw 36.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most among all QBs.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Bills defense has given up a meager 0.75 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.
The Bills linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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