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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to be the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • With a terrible tally of 4.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (23rd percentile), Trevor Lawrence has been among the worst rushing QBs in the NFL this year.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 3.92 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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