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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Kansas City's group of DTs has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Trevor Lawrence to accumulate 3.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Trevor Lawrence's 3.77 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season shows a significant drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 4.93 figure.
  • The Chiefs defense boasts the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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