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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Trevor Lawrence to be much more involved in his team's running game in this game (11.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive strategy to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars since the start of last season (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).

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