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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 129.0 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 2.19 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 77th percentile.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's unit has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 11th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 41.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

With a very bad record of 4.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (18th percentile), Trevor Lawrence rates among the bottom running QBs in the league since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the weak Texans run defense has been gouged for a colossal 4.22 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 26th-worst rate in the league.

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