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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.9 rush attempts per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (75th percentile).
  • Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his team's running game this season (17.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.3%).
  • Trevor Lawrence's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a meaningful gain in his running talent over last season's 11.0 mark.
  • This year, the daunting Bills run defense has allowed a mere 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 30th-lowest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-least run-heavy team in the league (36.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • With a very bad total of 5.0 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (24th percentile), Trevor Lawrence stands among the weakest rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

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