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Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-104/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Trevor Lawrence has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this year (16.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.3%).

Trevor Lawrence's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a meaningful boost in his rushing proficiency over last season's 11.0 mark.

The Denver defensive ends project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 90.0 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16