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Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Trevor Lawrence has been much more involved in his team's running game this season (15.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).

Trevor Lawrence's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a noteable improvement in his running proficiency over last season's 11.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 40.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles defensive tackles grade out as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

Trevor Lawrence Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11