Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Trevor Lawrence has averaged 3.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (75th percentile).
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Opposing teams have run for the 7th-least yards in the NFL (just 107 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season.

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