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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 229.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • In registering a massive 33.1 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (82nd percentile) by this metric.
  • This year, the weak Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded a monstrous 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 8th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a poor 59.2% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the least on-target passers in football.

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