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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 221.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 227.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 221.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

The model projects Trevor Lawrence to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Trevor Lawrence profiles as one of the worst precision passers in the league this year with a 58.4% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 9th percentile.

With a subpar 6.03 adjusted yards-per-target (18th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the least effective QBs in the league.

More Trevor Lawrence Player Props

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