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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.

The leading projections forecast Trevor Lawrence to attempt 35.8 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 10th-most among all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are anticipated by the model to call only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

Trevor Lawrence grades out as one of the worst precision passers in the league since the start of last season with a 60.8% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 11th percentile.

The Bengals safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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