My Account Log Out
 
 
Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 237.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 235.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 237.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • Trevor Lawrence has attempted 30.1 throws per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • With an outstanding tally of 214.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Trevor Lawrence has been among the leading quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the least accurate passers in football this year with a 60.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 2nd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 172.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™