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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 223.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 225.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Trevor Lawrence to attempt 36.0 passes this week, on balance: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Trevor Lawrence grades out as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL this year with a 59.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 13th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the league against the Broncos defense this year (65.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.06 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-fewest in the league.

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