Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 257.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 257.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 136.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars this year (a staggering 64.2 per game on average).
Trevor Lawrence has attempted 36.6 passes per game this year, grading out in the 79th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
With a remarkable tally of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Trevor Lawrence rates among the best QBs in the NFL this year.
This year, the weak Colts defense has allowed a monstrous 275.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The the Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

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