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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive strategy to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Trevor Lawrence is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars since the start of last season (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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