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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -164.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.
  • Trevor Lawrence has totaled 0.87 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 19th percentile when it comes to QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • The model projects Trevor Lawrence to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Kansas City's defense ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year as it relates to making interceptions, accumulating 0.83 per game.
  • The Kansas City cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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