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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers

Trevor Lawrence Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+107/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.

The Jacksonville offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Panthers have intercepted 0.54 throws per game last year, grading out as the 8th-worst defense in the NFL by this stat

The Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by the projection model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL last year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Panthers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.9 per game) last year.

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