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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • In registering a massive 33.1 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence places among the top quarterbacks in football (82nd percentile) by this metric.
  • The Raiders safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a poor 59.2% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the least on-target passers in football.

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