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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-118/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • In logging a whopping 32.2 pass attempts per game this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (81st percentile) by this metric.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.3 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
  • Trevor Lawrence profiles as one of the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 59.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 9th percentile.
  • This year, the tough Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up a puny 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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