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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this game, Trevor Lawrence is projected by our trusted projection set to average the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Trevor Lawrence rates as one of the least on-target QBs in the league this year with a 59.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 6th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest level in the league versus the Houston Texans defense this year (62.9% Adjusted Completion%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Houston's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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