Trevor Lawrence Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Trevor Lawrence

NFL · Player Props

Trevor Lawrence

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Trevor Lawrence Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jaguars.
The model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Pittsburgh's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

This year, the stout Steelers defense has surrendered a mere 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

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