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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-111/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
  • The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars as the 7th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

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