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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 128.9 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's unit has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jaguars feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Liam Coen, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 37.9% run rate.
  • The Jaguars have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

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