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Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Liam Coen, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 39.5% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jaguars are anticipated by the model to call only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jaguars since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

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